If you are serious about protecting your people, assets,
and interests in Korea, Japan, or the region, this is the report.
Erudite Risk’s North Korea Monitor is the most relevant and effective crisis management
planning tool available for dealing with the threat of North Korea-related conflict on the Korean Peninsula.
The North Korea Monitor report is normally 12-14 pages in length, including front cover page and back page.
"A conflict in North Korea would be probably the worst kind of fighting in most people's lifetimes...This regime is a threat to the region, to Japan and South Korea and in the event of war they would bring danger to China and to Russia as well. But the bottom line is it would be a catastrophic war if this turns into a combat if we're not able to resolve this situation through diplomatic means.”
-- US Secretary of Defense James Mattis, May 28, 2017
"It would be horrific, and it would be a loss of life unlike any we have experienced in our lifetimes, and I mean anyone who's been alive since World War II has never seen the loss of life that could occur if there's a conflict on the Korean Peninsula...But as I've told my counterparts, both friend and foe, it is not unimaginable to have military options to respond to North Korean nuclear capability. What's unimaginable to me is allowing a capability that would allow a nuclear weapon to land in Denver, Colorado. That's unimaginable to me. So my job will be to develop military options to make sure that doesn't happen."
-- US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Joe Dunford, July 22, 2017
“A war on the Korean Peninsula would be terrible. However, a nuclear weapon detonating in Los Angeles would be terrible. The fact of the matter is we are at a point in time where choices are going to have to be made one way or the other.”
-- US Army Chief of Staff, General Mark Milley, July 27, 2017
The North Korea Monitor is a uniquely valuable resource.
Erudite Risk’s North Korea Monitor (NKM) is a framework-driven analysis product. We go beyond simply talking about North Korea or explaining our geopolitical take on the situation. Erudite Risk’s analysis is driven by a crisis management framework built for a specific purpose: helping organizations make better, earlier, decisions in a crisis environment where good decision-making is uniquely difficult.
Erudite Risk’s NK Crisis Management Framework was developed over the course of 15 years of helping companies in South Korea prepare for a potential conflict. Our framework is complete; it covers all possible levels of risk and the responses appropriate to them. The North Korea Monitor seamlessly integrates into any complete crisis management plan for Korea or Japan as environmental trigger and indicator data.The North Korea Monitor keeps track of essential triggers and indicators occurring in and around the crisis theater.
We then apply those triggers to time- and speed-based crisis management scenarios so that you have guidance in implementing and executing your entity’s crisis management plan. We provide timely understanding of the situation on the ground so that you can see emerging trends and discern the overall direction the crisis is heading.
ER’s North Korea Monitor provides coverage of a prioritized basket of triggers and indicators we have selected based on their importance to decision-making. Out of the hundreds of triggers and indicators seen in the environment, we have filtered out all but the most important ones. The NKM covers many indictors each week, but the report prioritizes a subset of triggers that enhance and clarify decision-making rather than further cloud the issues. Information should make decisions easier, not more difficult.
What is in the report?
The NKM Dashboard includes an executive summary that covers:
- The current status
- What has changed
- Why you should care
- What the sentiment on the ground is now
The Dashboard also includes a summary of currently witnessed triggers and indicators, displayed within the ER NK Crisis Framework, as well as other surveyed indicators such as the Korean stock market, foreign exchange forecast, and US State Department and UK Foreign Office advisories. Two additional key Korean government indicators are also surveyed each week.
Three Months Out: The Dashboard also includes analysis of what to expect over the next 3 months, key dates to be aware from a risk point-of-view, and additional readings to consider to better understand the context and complete environment.
The Environment section covers all indicator events over the most recent week, organized chronologically. Coverage of each event includes event details and analysis of significance and risk.
3. Triggers and Indicators
The Triggers and Indicators section summarizes all recently seen indicators, links together linked ones, labels each indicator by role. Indicators are summarized by week to demonstrate how the indicators flow over time, so that the overall progression and trend of events is visible.
4. Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment Analysis shows how people on the ground, Koreans on the Korean Peninsula, feel about the developing crisis. Through monitoring and analysis of published news media and social media reactions, we survey sentiment on the ground to see how local perceptions and attitudes toward the crisis may inform your decision-making and action.
5. NK Crisis Framework
The last part of the weekly NKM is a recap of the complete ER NK Crisis Framework. The NKM functions as a data source for crisis management planning, while the NK Crisis Framework included provides a best practices way of looking at crisis management planning, preparation, and responses for a crisis on the Korean Peninsula or Japan.
The North Korea Monitor is the intelligence input into your own crisis management decision-making that you need in order to make the tough decisions that save lives, protect assets, and allow you to bounce back afterward.
Additional Benefits for Subscribers
Trigger Watch Report
When a significant trigger is witnessed we produce a special report for all subscribers called the “Trigger Watch.” This report is published and dispatched only when key trigger events are witnessed and key details of those events are verified. The Trigger Watch includes a summary of the event with an explanation of its significance and a crisis management section that includes a risk assessment based on the new event.
ER NKM subscribers may join an exclusive Slack group created just for NK Crisis Management. This group includes surveys, benchmarking, Q&A sessions, report dispatch alerts and other features.
Special Topics Reports
The NKM reports also include special topics sections from time to time. Special topics may include additional analysis of a new development and NK crisis management-related topics. These Special Topics are often included in the regular NKM report or sent out separately as their own reports.
Questions and Answers
Aside from the Slack group interactions, any NKM subscriber may reach out to Erudite’s NKM team with specific questions on any material included in the reports. Normal question and answer is by email, but may also include phone calls, as required.
Who is the report for?
Entities with operations and personnel on the Korean Peninsula or in Japan
Entities with investments in Korea or Japan
Entities with supply chains running through Korea or Japan: suppliers and other partners
Entities considering partnering, acquisitions, or investments in Korea or Japan
Anyone with a stake in Northeast Asia
Request a sample report to review.
Where is the North Korea Monitor report written?
The Erudite Risk North Korea Monitor is written each week 100% on the ground in South Korea.
Where do you get your information?
We get our information from a variety of sources we monitor each week, both in the Korean language and in English. We monitor public media, and local direct sources on the ground.
Who writes the reports?
Report creation is led by Erudite Risk President, Rodney J. Johnson, and Erudite Risk Director of Business Intelligence, Kyle Johnson.
Rodney J. Johnson is a former intelligence analyst for the US military, focused exclusively on North Korea. In addition, he has led or managed over 2000 security and risk management-related cases in Korea. He has created crisis management plans for entities operating on the Peninsula from virtually every industry. He is the creator of the Erudite Risk Crisis Framework and the designer of the North Korea Monitor.
Kyle Johnson is a former intelligence analyst for the US military, who also focused on North Korea. He is a Korean linguist with years of experience analyzing North Korean military operations and activities.
Who reads the North Korea Monitor?
Human Rights Watch
Gyeonggi-Suwon Int'l School
Chadwick International School
Int’l School of Koje
Tiffany & Co.
Briggs & Stratton
Stanley/Black & Decker
Lee & Ko
Royal Bank of Canada
Korea International School