This article was originally published on April 4, 2018 as a special analysis available to subscribers to
Erudite Risk's North Korea Monitor report. It was written by and Rodney J. Johnson and Kyle L. Johnson.
When preparing for any crisis, good planning processes make for good crisis management plans. Planning for a potential crisis on the Korean Peninsula is no different. Following the best practices of analysis, preparation, and good decision-making can lead to the best possible result regardless of what kind of crisis our organization ends up facing.
This article provides fundamental guidance and assistance for preparing a crisis management plan (CMP) for a conflict on the Korean Peninsula. The different components of it should help you to understand not only what should go into your crisis management plan, but also how to make a better plan and how to execute it better. It is the internalization of the lessons of a potential conflict on the peninsula, and not just the mechanics of the plan, that will ultimately enable you to make better decisions and maximize your opportunities for safety and security in a time of crisis.
Predicting the future is all but impossible. That doesn't mean that organizations and individuals cannot prepare for crises before they happen. Even a crisis as large, as potentially sudden, and as surely catastrophic as open conflict on the Korean Peninsula, can be managed with the right crisis management processes. We don't have to know what North Korea is going to do next to be safe. The goal is to be as safe as possible no matter what happens. That means organizations need to create crisis management plans that don't rely on perfect prediction.