China

操盘必读：影响股市利好或利空消息_2026年1月22日_财经新闻

Sina Finance | Local Language | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | UndeterminedInvestor Sentiment

U.S. Trade Representative Grier indicated potential new trade talks with China, supported by China’s call to implement important bilateral agreements to stabilize economic cooperation. The People’s Bank of China emphasized accelerating RMB cross-border payment systems and reinforced regulatory supervision to ensure healthy industry development. Tax policies were extended to exempt personal income tax on gains from innovative enterprise China Depositary Receipts (CDRs) through 2027. Former U.S. President Trump ruled out forcibly acquiring Greenland and canceled upcoming tariffs on Europe, prompting increased optimism in U.S. stock markets. Meanwhile, the European Parliament indefinitely froze the review of the EU-U.S. trade agreement, with Denmark opposing U.S. demands regarding Greenland.

Industry updates included the expansion of inbound duty-free shops at ports, new real estate policies focusing on controlling added supply and optimizing financing, and long-term supply agreements in the semiconductor memory industry valid through 2030. Guangdong proposed advancing AI-driven smart transportation and autonomous driving tests. Intel and AMD’s server CPU supply is sold out for 2026, leading to planned price hikes. Guangdong raised the minimum commercial housing mortgage down payment ratio to 30%. Suzhou outlined plans to promote AI-driven scientific development and housing market revitalization.

Among companies, several reported expected net losses for 2025, including Moore Threads (950 million to 1.06 billion yuan), Xinda Real Estate (7.6 to 8.2 billion yuan), Jinko Energy (5.9 to 6.9 billion yuan), and Hongqiang Co., which anticipated a swing from profit to loss. Notable profit forecasts included Tianfu Communications (1.881 to 2.15 billion yuan, up 40–60%), Demingli (650 to 800 million yuan, up 85–128%), Jin’an Guoji (280 to 360 million yuan, up 656–871%), Daikin Heavy Industry (1.05 to 1.2 billion yuan, up 122–153%), and Juhua Co., Ltd. (3.54 to 3.94 billion yuan, up 80–101%). Other announcements included large contracts by Tengjing Technology and Nankuang Group and strategic investments by Hualan Co., Ltd. and Binhai Energy in AI drug R&D and advanced materials.

Global markets reacted positively to Trump’s announcement, lifting major U.S. indexes by over 1%, with memory stocks like SanDisk rallying strongly. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index also gained 2.21%. Spot silver dropped intraday but recovered slightly, while spot gold hit a record high near $4,888 per ounce. Natural gas prices surged due to weather threats to U.S. exports and ongoing cold across Europe and Asia, with U.S. natural gas futures up 29% for the day. Crude oil prices edged up amid geopolitical uncertainties focused on Greenland rather than Iran.

Investment opportunities highlighted include the spin-off of Zhiyuan Robotics’ dexterous hand business into an independent company, reflecting a maturing robotics sector poised for rapid growth through 2030. Neuralink’s brain-machine interface chip now supports wireless over-the-air upgrades, signaling progress toward commercial-scale deployment in the brain-machine interface industry, expected to reach $7.63 billion globally by 2029.

Additional updates feature no new trading suspensions and the resumption of trading for ST Zhongzhuang. Operating data revealed mixed corporate earnings forecasts, with strong profit growth expected in some sectors and significant losses in others. Key contract wins, share buyback plans, and shareholder reductions were also noted, alongside industry-focused investments in battery materials and carbon technologies. Executive resignations and production capacity adjustments were reported at select mining and chemical companies.

Global Times | English | News | Jan. 23, 2026 | Accidents

An explosion at Baogang United Steel in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, occurred at 3:03 pm on January 18, resulting in 10 deaths and 84 injuries. Emergency rescue teams from national, regional, and city levels responded promptly to the incident.

After thorough search and verification by public security, health, and other departments, eight previously missing individuals were confirmed deceased. All injured persons are currently in stable condition. The investigation and follow-up arrangements related to the accident are ongoing.

社交电商步入合规深水区：应对传销与税务风险的实战攻略

AnJie Broad Law Firm | Local Language | AcademicThink | Jan. 23, 2026 | Regulation

Social e-commerce in China has grown rapidly over the past decade, driven by models based on social networks and user trust, such as Pinduoduo's group-buying and Yunji’s membership platforms. This growth has created dynamic business forms but has also raised significant compliance concerns, particularly around pyramid selling and tax risks. In response, the State Council has prioritized revising regulations on pyramid selling and direct selling in 2025, signaling intensified enforcement and clearer regulatory standards. Concurrently, new tax regulations have redefined platform responsibilities, transitioning from voluntary assistance to statutory agency roles for tax reporting and collection.

The social e-commerce ecosystem primarily involves platform enterprises, individual promoters, and consumers, with some models including institutional service providers managing promoters. While multi-level marketing elements raise suspicions of pyramid selling, criminal law sets a high threshold for such liability, generally exempting compliant platforms that base compensation on actual sales without coercion or deception. However, administrative regulations have broader criteria and have become a key risk area, with penalties including hefty fines, operational suspensions, and potential license revocation. Legal debates focus on how to define hierarchical layers in the distribution chain and the compliance value of structuring intermediate tiers as independent legal entities, which is not a guaranteed safeguard.

Since 2025, enhanced tax regulations mandate internet platforms to act as statutory agents for tax collection related to flexible-employment income, requiring robust compliance systems. Individual promoters must provide truthful identity and income declarations and choose between platform agency tax declaration or self-declaration, while institutional service providers are required to maintain complete and transparent tax and accounting records to avoid risks.

To navigate the tightening regulatory environment, social e-commerce entities must adopt a comprehensive compliance framework. This includes defining platform roles strictly as compliant e-commerce operators, designing profit models aligned with legal standards for platforms, suppliers, promoters, and service providers, and implementing detailed internal controls over membership rules, compensation, and hierarchical structures. Firms are urged to standardize external marketing and user compliance management, coordinate legal and fiscal processes, and embed compliance into ongoing governance rather than one-off projects.

The industry faces a “double strengthening” regulatory approach with ongoing revision of anti-pyramid selling laws and the introduction of data-driven tax supervision systems. Success in this environment depends on firms’ ability to align business models with legal requirements, embrace transparent operations, actively engage with regulators, and promote self-discipline within the sector. The shift away from uncontrolled growth toward compliance-focused development is positioned not as a restriction but as an opportunity to restore social e-commerce to its core value of efficient consumer empowerment and sustainable market growth.