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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.
The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.
Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.
We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.
Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.
Economy seen on steady track
China Daily | English | News | Nov. 21, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
Domestic and international financial institutions express confidence in China's economic outlook, expecting a steady recovery supported by policy measures and industrial upgrading. This follows the recent release of recommendations for China's 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-30), which sets the development framework for the next five years. China's economy is projected to maintain robust growth amid fluctuations, with fiscal policies becoming more proactive in 2026, including a deficit-to-GDP ratio around 4 percent and an expanded quota for special-purpose local government bonds to boost infrastructure projects.
Monetary policy is expected to remain accommodative, with potential cuts to reserve requirement ratios and interest rates, alongside continued use of structural monetary tools and government bond transactions by the People's Bank of China. Forecasts place GDP growth at around 5 percent for 2025 and approximately 4.9 percent in 2026. Despite significant growth potential over the medium to long term, soft domestic demand and the need for price stabilization remain challenges for policymakers.
The government aims to drive "resilient, steady and inclusive" growth, emphasizing technological self-reliance through investments in key sectors such as semiconductors and artificial intelligence (AI). These sectors are viewed as critical for high-quality development and supply chain resilience. State resources and market forces, including the stock market, will be leveraged to support their expansion.
Globally, AI investment is expected to grow but faces sustainability concerns. Currently, most AI investments are self-financed by profits with minimal borrowing. However, as investment scales increase, reliance on debt markets may rise, potentially crowding out credit and increasing credit spreads. Notably, major firms like Meta and Alphabet have already started restricting borrowing this year.
Global biz leaders praise Jiangsu's robust development environment
China Daily | English | News | Nov. 21, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
Top executives from multinational companies gathered in Wuxi, Jiangsu province, to praise the region's strong development environment and discuss strategies to enhance the resilience of industrial supply chains amid global economic uncertainties. Around 700 attendees, including leaders from over 30 Fortune Global 500 companies, participated in the 2025 International Cooperation Conference on Industrial Chain and Supply Chain and the Lake Tai Entrepreneurs Forum.
Yuan Xiaoming, assistant minister of the Ministry of Commerce, highlighted China’s commitment to supporting stable global industrial and supply chains by offering a large market and open platforms, particularly in Jiangsu. He encouraged foreign investors to capitalize on opportunities in Jiangsu’s rich industrial clusters and broad market reach, with ongoing support from the Ministry to advance high-quality development.
Pfizer plans to invest over $1 billion in Jiangsu’s biopharmaceutical sector through its "Pfizer-Jiangsu Full Industrial Chain Innovation Empowerment Plan," aiming to boost R&D, production capacity, and local enterprise investment. Apple’s vice-president noted that Jiangsu is a critical hub for its supply chain, housing half of the core suppliers with factories in China. LG Energy Solution described Jiangsu as a key overseas production base, emphasizing the importance of a critical materials assurance system. Eli Lilly, operating in Suzhou since 1996, has invested $2.1 billion over the past decade and plans additional investments, reflecting deep integration with the local industrial ecosystem.
Jiangsu demonstrated strong foreign investment performance, with $103.74 billion in actual use of foreign capital from 2021 to 2024, including $19.05 billion in 2024 alone, representing 16.4 percent of China’s total. In the first three quarters of 2025, Jiangsu attracted $14.52 billion in foreign capital, increasing its national share to 18.1 percent, maintaining its status as China’s largest recipient of foreign investment.
外资有望持续流入中国股市
Foreign investment expected to continue flowing into the Chinese stock market
Sina Finance | Local Language | News | Nov. 21, 2025 | UndeterminedInvestor Sentiment
Multiple prominent foreign institutions, including Morgan Stanley and UBS, have released optimistic outlooks for China's equity markets in 2026, anticipating continued foreign capital inflows and steady economic growth. UBS maintains an overweight position on Chinese equities, while Morgan Stanley has raised its China equity index target, highlighting confidence in sectors such as AI, technology, overseas expansion, and anti-involution policies.
China’s economy has exhibited steady performance in 2025, with resilient exports and growing domestic demand. Foreign analysts expect these positive trends to persist into 2026, supported by government policies aimed at steady growth, optimization of economic structure, and enhanced manufacturing competitiveness. The recent Recommendations of the CPC Central Committee’s Fifteenth Five-Year Plan further bolster foreign investors’ confidence, with Goldman Sachs projecting 5-6% annual export growth and improved GDP growth, alongside a reducing drag from the real estate sector and accelerated renminbi internationalization.
The Chinese stock market, which has already seen strong gains in 2025 (Shanghai Composite up 17.75%, Shenzhen Component Index up 25.59% year-to-date as of November 19), is expected to transition towards earnings-driven growth in 2026. Market drivers such as innovation, policy support for private enterprises, fiscal expansion, and liquidity will remain but will not primarily drive valuation multiples as in 2025. Instead, improvements in corporate profitability, especially linked to anti-involution policies, will be key to stock performance.
Foreign investment into China’s stock market has surged in 2025, with inflows reaching $50.6 billion in the first ten months, significantly surpassing 2024’s total of $11.4 billion. Net inflows from foreign mutual funds reached $8 billion by the end of October. Policy support, investor confidence in innovation, and anti-involution measures underpin these inflows, with global institutional surveys indicating intentions to increase allocations to Chinese equities. Despite potential timing lags in execution, foreign investor participation in China’s equity market is expected to grow steadily in 2026.
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