China

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Beijing Responds to Taiwan’s Legislative Proposals on Redefining Cross-Strait Relations
Jan. 6, 2026 | Geopolitics & Defense

Beijing has condemned recent Taiwanese legislative efforts to redefine the island’s relationship with the People’s Republic of China.

Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party legislators introduced amendments to the island’s cross-Strait regulations that would recast their relationship as one between “Taiwan and the People’s Republic of China” instead of under a single-China framework and strip out the phrase “prior to national reunification.” The proposals aim to alter the legal terminology governing cross-Strait relations and remove any link between Taiwan’s status and the notion of eventual reunification under the People’s Republic of China.

**Chen Binhua, spokesperson for the State Council Taiwan Affairs Office, denounced these amendments as a disregard for mainstream opinion in Taiwan and a threat to its people’s welfare.**
He argued that the changes challenge China’s long-standing historical and legal stance that Taiwan remains an inalienable part of its territory and attempt to rewrite the status quo of a unified “one China.” Labeling the revisions as a push for “de jure Taiwan independence,” Chen accused DPP figures, including Vice President Lai Ching-te, of acting as “saboteurs of peace” and “instigators of conflict.” He warned that any action crossing Beijing’s self-defined red line would trigger the Anti-Secession Law and prompt resolute measures to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

**On January 4, 2026, state-run China Central Television broadcast an investigative report accusing Shen Pao-yang, a DPP-affiliated academic and lawmaker, of spearheading Taiwan’s formal independence movement.**
The Chongqing Public Security Bureau alleged that since founding his “Kuma Academy” in 2021, Shen cultivated violent separatists under the academy’s banner and received support from both the DPP and unspecified external forces.

**According to the report, Shen falsely claimed that Beijing planned a forcible reunification of Taiwan and urged social persecution of Taiwanese residents married to mainland Chinese by branding them spies.**
He also targeted Taiwan businessmen with mainland ties, despite some having financially supported his activities. Taiwanese outlets pointed out that, while Shen advocates separatism, his father runs a profitable business in the mainland.

**Shen landed on the Taiwan Affairs Office’s list of “obstinate separatists” in October 2024 and faced sanctions.**
On October 28, 2025, the Chongqing Public Security Bureau launched a criminal investigation under Chinese laws against Taiwan independence advocates. Citing legal experts, state media suggested that if prosecutors find sufficient evidence, Shen could face international pursuit, including through Interpol red notices.

**Throughout these events, Beijing has expressed full confidence in its ability to thwart any formal independence bid.**
The central government has urged Taiwan compatriots to reject secessionist efforts, work with the mainland to maintain cross-Strait stability, and safeguard the unity of the Chinese nation.
Liu Shaoyong Removed from Communist Party Following Corruption Probe in China’s Aviation Sector
Jan. 6, 2026 | Governance & Law

Liu Shaoyong’s trajectory through China’s civil aviation sector culminated in his leadership of China Eastern Airlines and subsequent expulsion from the Communist Party of China.

**Liu Shaoyong, 67, hails from Henan province.**
He joined the Communist Party of China in 1977 and began working in civil aviation in 1978. Over the following decades, he held multiple senior roles in China’s aviation sector before joining China Eastern Airlines in 2008. From December 2017 until July 2022, he served as both Party secretary and chairman of the airline.

**In June 2025, the CPC Central Committee authorized the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Commission of Supervision to investigate Liu.**
Investigators determined he had lost his convictions, failed to cooperate, and violated the Party Central Committee’s eight-point decision on improving Party and government conduct. They also found he engaged in superstitious activities—such as attending arranged golf events—accepted illegal banquet invitations, neglected to report personal matters, and displayed disloyalty to the Party.

**The inquiry revealed that Liu abused his position to secure benefits for relatives and non-related parties across private equity fund management, project contracting, flight management, aircraft leasing, and job recruitment.**
He improperly held shares in non-listed companies and provided advantages in hiring processes in exchange for personal gain.

**In return for these favors, he accepted significant sums of money, properties, gifts, and other valuables.**
Following the disciplinary findings, the Party expelled Liu, confiscated his illicit gains, and referred his case to judicial authorities for prosecution under relevant laws and regulations.

Monitored Intelligence for China - Jan. 7, 2026


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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.

Risk Categories Reported on Today

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Erudite Risk also includes operations categories so you can monitor the environment for better decision making. Everything is tied together--what happens in risk affects operations and what happens in the market impacts risk profiles.

We categorize key intelligence into one of 30 different operations intelligence categories.

Different roles and functions within the organization can monitor different key issue areas. HR may monitor employment, wages, regulations, labor and management relations, etc., while P&L leaders may monitor overall developing trends.

Operations Categories Reported on Today

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6
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7
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15
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Initiative
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Shandong Sells China’s First Local Gov't Bonds of 2026, Kicking Off Nationwide Infrastructure Push

Yicai Global | English | News | Jan. 7, 2026 | UndeterminedBudgets-Budgeting

Shandong province in eastern China issued the first batch of local government special-purpose bonds for 2026, totaling CNY72.3 billion (USD10.3 billion). This issuance initiates a nationwide push for infrastructure investment, with 27 provincial-level regions and major cities planning to issue approximately CNY2 trillion (USD286.4 billion) in bonds during the first quarter of 2026. The National People's Congress approves the annual quota for these bonds in March, but since 2019, the State Council has had authority to pre-allocate part of the next year's bond quota to facilitate earlier issuance and support economic growth.

If the historical pre-allocation ratio of around 60 percent is maintained, the pre-allocated bond quota for this year could reach CNY3.1 trillion (USD446.7 billion). This front-loaded fiscal support aligns with government policy to accelerate infrastructure projects early in the year. Shandong's issuance consisted of CNY46.7 billion (USD6.7 billion) in new special-purpose bonds aimed at public welfare projects and CNY25.6 billion (USD3.6 billion) in refinancing bonds used to replace hidden local government debt. This marks the official start of the nationwide issuance of CNY2 trillion (USD286.4 billion) in refinancing bonds for 2026.

Local government special-purpose bonds are categorized as either new bonds, which fund projects with stable returns, or refinancing bonds, which repay maturing debt and swap out hidden liabilities approved by the National People's Congress Standing Committee. In the first quarter of 2025, local governments issued a total of CNY2.8 trillion (USD400.9 billion) in special-purpose bonds, with CNY1.2 trillion (USD171.8 billion) in new bonds and CNY1.6 trillion (USD229.1 billion) in refinancing bonds, according to the Ministry of Finance.

China’s Non-Bank Payment Firms Boost Capital Following Rule Changes

Yicai Global | English | News | Jan. 7, 2026 | Regulation

Following new regulations implemented in April 2025, China’s non-bank payment firms have significantly increased their registered capital and expanded into cross-border markets. The regulations set a minimum paid-in capital requirement of CNY100 million (USD14.3 million) and imposed stricter standards for risk management and capital adequacy. Major players like WeChat’s Tenpay raised capital, with Tenpay’s approval to increase from CNY15.3 billion to CNY22.3 billion (USD3.2 billion). Smaller firms, especially prepaid-card businesses, faced license revocations, resulting in a reduced number of licensed payment providers from which 107 permits were revoked, leaving 164 active in 2025.

The boost in capital aims to enhance institutions’ ability to manage funds and risks and to meet the rising compliance costs related to anti-fraud and anti-money-laundering efforts. The increasing regulatory burden also serves as a foundation for business expansion. Alongside domestic developments, several firms have pushed into the cross-border payments sector, capitalizing on the growth of cross-border e-commerce and higher profit margins. Lakala Payment, LianLian DigiTech, and CoGoLinks saw significant increases in trans-border transaction volumes, with growth rates of 78%, 94%, and 170%, respectively.

Cross-border payment fees, which range from 2% to 3%, are considerably higher than the stable domestic rate of 0.6%, providing higher gross profit margins. These companies also offer value-added services such as multi-currency settlements, exchange rate risk management, and supply chain finance. However, industry experts caution that cross-border payments involve challenges including information asymmetry and multi-market risks, emphasizing the need for strong compliance, risk control, and anti-money-laundering capabilities tailored to each market.

Chinese authorities warn of new NFC scam enabling remote theft of bank card funds and personal data

Global Times | English | News | Jan. 7, 2026 | Cyber Attacks and Data Loss

Chinese authorities have issued warnings about a new near-field communication (NFC) scam that enables criminals to remotely steal funds from bank cards and harvest personal data. The scam exploits the misconception that NFC’s short-range technology, which works within about 10 centimeters, is secure. Fraudsters pose as customer service agents, using scenarios like flight cancellation refunds or membership cancellations to gain victims’ trust.

Once trust is established, victims are tricked into downloading malicious apps or allowing remote phone control through screen-sharing. Scammers then instruct victims to enable NFC and hold their bank cards near their phones to skim card details, which are linked to fake payment tools to transfer funds. These scams leverage illegally obtained data and small-amount password-free payments, allowing unauthorized transactions without victims entering passwords.

Victims often lose control over their phones, with malicious apps accessing contacts, messages, locations, and other sensitive permissions. Real-time screen-sharing lets scammers capture verification codes and passwords. The exposure of personal information can lead to reselling of data, targeted scams, fake accounts, money laundering, and long-term damage to credit and digital security.

Authorities advised the public not to trust unsolicited calls about refunds or compensation, avoid clicking unknown links or downloading apps, and refrain from enabling screen-sharing. They also recommended turning off NFC when not in use and disabling password-free small transactions to reduce risk.

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