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AI-Driven Memory Chip Demand Reshapes Global Semiconductor Supply and Spurs Chinese Expansion
Nov. 20, 2025 | Technology & Innovation

Recent shifts in semiconductor investment reflect the impact of AI-driven demand and strategic capacity expansions worldwide.

**AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips led Samsung and SK Hynix to reallocate production capacity from mainstream DRAM toward HBM, creating significant shortages in DRAM for mobile phones, PCs, and servers.**
As these manufacturers ramp up HBM output to support accelerating AI applications, DRAM supply constraints have emerged, pushing memory spot prices sharply higher and contributing to an industry phenomenon known as “chipflation.”

**Rising memory costs are driving up end-product prices across the tech sector.**
PC prices could climb by as much as 15% next year, while smartphone component expenditures are projected to increase by 5–7%. TrendForce analysts warn that these elevated costs may dampen consumer demand, potentially cutting smartphone production by 2% and laptop manufacturing by 2.4% in 2026. According to their estimates, low-margin, low-cost smartphones face the greatest risk.

**Major PC vendors already feel the impact.**
Dell’s memory procurement completion rate may fall to around 40%, raising the risk of delivery delays. In response, Morgan Stanley downgraded Dell’s stock outlook, and both Dell and HP suffered steep share price declines once they disclosed memory shortages and impending price hikes.

**Chinese smartphone manufacturers are encountering acute DRAM shortages and scrambling to secure supplies amid intense competition.**
In contrast, large technology companies such as Apple have largely insulated themselves by relying on long-term memory supply contracts. The scramble among Chinese OEMs has led to reduced orders for local foundries like SMIC.

**Domestic Chinese memory chipmakers are seizing these shortages to expand aggressively.**
Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC) has launched government-supported investments to boost its NAND flash capacity, targeting the world’s fourth-largest producer position within two years. This push aligns with Beijing’s strategy of nurturing domestic semiconductor champions. Unlike Samsung and SK Hynix, which have signaled only modest capacity increases for DRAM and NAND, Chinese firms are pursuing more ambitious growth plans. As global memory demand continues to rise, these producers may capture additional market share. Samsung’s Xi’an NAND flash facility and SK Hynix’s Wuxi DRAM plant in China already supply substantial portions of their companies’ global output, and ongoing government subsidies and investments in domestic fabs should further strengthen China’s role in the global memory supply chain.
Samsung Accelerates 1c DRAM Production Expansion Amid Rising Global Demand
Nov. 20, 2025 | Technology & Innovation

Korean chip makers are significantly expanding their DRAM production capabilities to address growing market demand.

**Samsung Electronics will ramp up its 10-nanometer-class 6th-generation DRAM (1c DRAM) output from 60,000 wafers per month at the end of 2025 to roughly 200,000 wafers per month by the end of 2026.**
The company plans to add 80,000 wafers by mid-2026 and another 60,000 wafers in the final quarter through process conversions in existing lines and fresh investments at its Pyeongtaek Plant 4 (P4).

**This enlarged 1c DRAM capacity will account for about one-third of Samsung’s current total DRAM production, which stands at 650,000–700,000 wafers per month.**
Samsung’s commitment reflects confidence in 1c DRAM technology and aims to alleviate a tight supply not only in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) but in mainstream DRAM—where buyers have begun pre-purchasing unproduced stock to secure future supply.

**Samsung’s 1c DRAM devices will feature circuit linewidths of 11 nanometers or less and incorporate multiple layers of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography.**
The goal is to mass-produce next-generation DRAM that delivers both higher performance and lower cost.

**On November 16, Samsung unveiled a broader investment plan of 450 trillion won over five years to secure memory semiconductor capacity as artificial intelligence drives demand higher.**
The company intends to scale production proactively, enabling rapid responses to market shifts.

**This investment push also targets the restoration of Samsung’s position as the world’s top DRAM supplier, a title currently held by SK hynix following Samsung’s recent HBM supply and sales setbacks.**
Samsung representatives say they are reviewing various measures to meet surging demand but have not confirmed the precise allocation of additional funds.

Monitored Intelligence for South Korea - Nov. 20, 2025


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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

The goal is to provide intelligence that allows decision makers to avoid being blindsided by what they may have missed, while informing them to make better decisions as well.

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Daejang-dong dispute threatens to become political crisis

Korea Herald | English | News | Nov. 20, 2025 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

The decision by South Korea's prosecution to drop its appeal in the high-profile Daejang-dong corruption case has escalated into a significant political and judicial crisis. The opposition conservative People Power Party accuses the Justice Ministry of interfering with judicial independence and protecting President Lee Jae Myung, who has been politically shadowed by the case for years. Party leaders held rallies demanding the resignation of Justice Minister Jung Sung-ho and Vice Minister Lee Jin-su, accusing them of pressuring prosecutors and trivializing wrongdoing that caused substantial taxpayer losses.

Internal dissent within the prosecution followed the appeal withdrawal. The head of the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office, Jung Jin-woo, and several other senior prosecutors resigned, protesting the acting Prosecutor General Noh Man-seok’s handling of the decision. Noh admitted consulting Justice Minister Jung before finalizing the appeal drop and resigned days later. Additional resignations among prosecutors are anticipated, while the Justice Ministry reportedly plans to reassign protesting prosecutors to lower-ranking positions, a move seen as punitive and unprecedented within the prosecution service.

The scandal dates back to a 2015 redevelopment project in Daejang-dong, Seongnam, where a disproportionate share of profits was awarded to politically connected private firms, despite minimal financial contribution. Prosecutors claimed the municipal developer was entitled to significantly higher profits. Several individuals received prison sentences for breach of trust. However, the court ruled against recognizing the charges as aggravated economic crimes, and by dropping the appeal, prosecutors lost the chance to challenge this, limiting the potential legal consequences. This ruling narrows liability for defendants, including President Lee, particularly affecting related cases after his term.

韓 산업계로 손뻗는 해커 조직…심텍·SFA 이어 LG엔솔도 피해

Hacker groups reaching out to Korean industry… LG Energy Solution also affected following Simtek and SFA

Digital Daily | Local Language | News | Nov. 20, 2025 | Cyber Attacks and Data Loss

LG Energy Solution's U.S. plant in Holland, Michigan, was targeted by the ransomware group Akira, which claims to have stolen 1.67 terabytes of confidential corporate documents. The stolen data reportedly includes employees' personal information such as passports, medical records, IDs, contact details, as well as confidential project documents, contracts, and information related to customers and partner companies. LG Energy Solution confirmed the attack affected only the U.S. plant, not its headquarters or other facilities, and emphasized that the plant is now operating normally while additional security measures and investigations are ongoing.

This incident is part of a broader trend of ransomware attacks targeting the Korean battery manufacturing and semiconductor industries. In late 2024, the ransomware group Underground attacked PCB substrate manufacturer Simtek and later targeted SFA, publishing large volumes of internal data on the dark web. Haesung DS experienced a similar breach where hackers exploited SSL-VPN vulnerabilities to deploy ransomware and leak data. These attacks have prompted affected companies to report to the Korea Internet & Security Agency (KISA) and strengthen their cybersecurity defenses.

Industry sources express concern that ongoing ransomware threats could severely disrupt business operations due to the B2B nature of these manufacturers, where leaked information about customers and tailored solutions could cause extensive damage and erode trust. While no financial losses have been reported from ransomware payment compliance, KISA advises against paying ransoms to prevent encouraging further attacks. Industry players are collaborating on enhanced security measures to mitigate risks.

비상장 스타트업, 스톡옵션 과세 논란…“인재 보상제도 취지 퇴색”

Unlisted Startups, Stock Option Taxation Controversy… Talent Compensation System Purpose Undermined

ET News | Local Language | News | Nov. 20, 2025 | UndeterminedTaxes

The National Tax Service (NTS) has caused controversy by taxing stock options of employees at unlisted startups based on a "post-transaction amount" instead of the "time of exercise" method used for listed companies. This approach has led to cases where additional taxes and penalties amounting to tens of billions of won were imposed years after the exercise, based on market prices from unrelated third-party trades. CEOs affected have had to spend significant resources on legal defenses, with penalty taxes reportedly reaching 60%.

This tax issue arises because unlisted companies lack publicly available market prices at the time stock options are exercised. Unlike listed companies, where the closing price on the exercise day sets a clear market value, unlisted company valuations are affected by factors like venture capital terms, preferred shares, company performance, and financing rounds, causing significant price fluctuations within short periods. The current taxation system risks turning stock options into punitive tax burdens, undermining their role as talent compensation tools.

The National Tax Service defended its position, stating that market prices for unlisted stocks can be checked via unlisted stock exchanges and through mandatory reporting of private trades. The NTS also highlighted a tax deferral system that delays tax liabilities until stock sale. However, industry representatives argue that many unlisted companies are not listed on these exchanges, making accurate valuation difficult, and the tax deferral system has strict limitations that restrict its practical use.

Experts and industry leaders are calling for urgent reforms to ensure stock options fulfill their intended role as performance incentives. They emphasize the need for objective valuation methods by the tax authorities to prevent punitive taxation based on isolated high-priced transactions, which they say severely damages the startup talent compensation ecosystem.

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