Crisis Management for a Conflict with North Korea
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European Economic Outlook Signs of Growth Reacceleration
Daiwa Institute of Research | Local Language | AcademicThink | Nov. 27, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth
The euro area’s real GDP grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in July–September 2025, with Spain and France contributing positively, while Germany and Italy showed zero growth after declines in the previous quarter. The services sector likely drove this expansion, whereas the industrial sector remained stagnant.
Business sentiment improved sharply in October, suggesting an acceleration in economic activity, particularly in the industrial sector, indicating a potential recovery in industrial output. The European Central Bank (ECB) kept policy rates unchanged for the third meeting in a row, with President Lagarde noting that downside economic risks have eased. Inflation and wage data aligned with ECB expectations, making a wait-and-see approach probable at the December meeting.
The UK’s GDP grew by 0.1% in the third quarter, a slowdown partly impacted by a production halt at a major automaker due to a cyberattack. Even excluding this factor, growth remains sluggish. The Bank of England paused rate cuts for the second consecutive meeting in November but adopted a more dovish stance compared to September. With a worsening labor market and pending assessment of the autumn budget, further rate reductions are anticipated in December.