Japan

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Global Effort Unites to Monitor Fukushima's Water Release
Feb. 21, 2025 | Indirect Indicator

In an effort to ensure transparency and build trust following Japan's decision to release treated water from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant into the ocean, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has initiated a crucial monitoring process.

This initiative, which commenced on February 19, 2025, involves a team of international experts from China, South Korea, Switzerland, and France, and is scheduled to continue until February 21.

China has been particularly proactive in seeking independent verification and has reached an agreement with Japan to participate in this collaborative effort.

Despite its initial opposition to the ocean release of the treated water, China plans to collect undiluted water samples from storage tanks on February 21 as part of the arrangements to eventually resume Japanese seafood imports.

While these steps align with the easing of import restrictions, it is important to note that sampling of diluted treated water before its release into the ocean is not on the agenda during this monitoring period.

The comprehensive analysis under the guidance of the IAEA includes examining Fukushima's seafood for radioactive substances, with comparative assessments conducted by participating countries.

On February 20, fishery products from the Fukushima coast were sampled to bolster oversight of the water release.

For China, this marks the first collection of Japanese fishery products within the IAEA framework, following a September 2024 understanding to progressively lift seafood import barriers.

Furthermore, on February 21, a sample of treated water from a storage tank is set to be collected prior to its dilution with seawater.

IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has underscored the significance of these monitoring activities, personally participating in the sampling process, including collecting seawater near the Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant.

China has requested additional samples from various locations to fulfill its demand for thorough verification.

Through this collective endeavor, the intention is to reassure the global community regarding the safety and transparency of the treated water's release into the ocean.
Artificial Intelligence's Role in Shaping Nuclear Energy Policy Feedback
Feb. 21, 2025 | Indirect Indicator

The recent disclosure by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) on February 19 unveiled intriguing findings from the public consultation phase regarding the government's revised Basic Energy Plan, which aims to enhance nuclear power usage.

Of particular interest was the reception of nearly 4,000 comments stemming from 46 individuals, with a sizable portion suspected to be generated by artificial intelligence (AI). This revelation prompts concerns about AI's role in potentially distorting public opinion, particularly given the dominantly anti-nuclear stance of these comments, which could significantly influence public consultations. Notably, AI-generated submissions comprised about 10% of the total feedback, reflecting their considerable impact.

While leveraging such tactics to sway opinion is not new, the rise of AI introduces fresh complexities. The absence of legal regulations governing AI use in public comment processes has sparked a debate on the interplay between free speech and the authenticity of public input.

Evidence of AI-facilitated efforts emerged on platforms such as X (formerly Twitter) and LINE, where AI was deployed to craft and disseminate proposals. This situation raises critical questions about whether these AI-crafted comments truly represent public sentiment or if they are merely amplified perspectives.

The comments predominantly championed alternatives to nuclear power, with one individual notably submitting 457 entries under various pseudonyms. In January, the unveiling of METI's revised Basic Energy Plan draft generated an unprecedented response, attracting 41,421 comments within a month.

Interestingly, the government's approval of the plan on February 18 marked a significant shift in policy, as it omitted previous language advocating for limiting nuclear reliance, signaling a move toward increased nuclear adoption.

The deployment of generative AI in comment submissions brings pressing concerns about the variety of opinions, critical for shaping sound policies. The prevalence of homogeneous and repetitive comments risks overshadowing genuine public sentiment.

Although strategies to garner support have been long-standing, the unregulated use of AI in public commentary introduces novel challenges. METI noted cases where AI-generated comment tactics were broadcast on X and LINE, with certain groups coordinating to amplify submissions, potentially skewing the outcomes of the consultation process.

Monitored Intelligence for Japan - Feb. 21, 2025


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川崎重工裏金問題にみる防衛省OB 「天下り」に葛藤も

Kawasaki Heavy Industries slush fund scandal leaves former Defense Ministry officials conflicted

Nikkei | Local Language | News | Feb. 21, 2025 | Political Scandal or Corruption

Kawasaki Heavy Industries faces a scandal involving a 40-year slush fund primarily tied to the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force (MSDF). Investigations reveal that the company's repair department created fictitious orders with subcontractors, accumulating 1.7 billion yen in illicit funds from fiscal years 2018 to 2011. This money was used for meals, entertainment, and other purchases, raising significant compliance concerns. Many submarine crew members reportedly benefitted from these corrupt transactions.

The situation is compounded by an oligopoly in Japan's submarine manufacturing, dominated by Kawasaki and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries. Out of 25 submarines in service, 12 were built by Kawasaki, limiting market competition and prompting questions about the necessity of providing goods and entertainment to crew members. An internal audit of 185,000 emails hints at potential links to amakudari practices, where retired Defense Ministry officials are re-employed at Kawasaki, fostering an environment that may normalize such fraud.

Amakudari leads to relationships between retired and current military members, as noted by Professor Masashi Nakano. He suggests these ties may aim to bolster influence and job security for former personnel. While Kawasaki's President Yasuhiko Hashimoto recognizes the advantages of hiring retired JSDF staff, he calls for improved compliance and transparency. As defense spending rises, discussions on reforming amakudari practices are ongoing, aiming to align private sector interactions with national security priorities.

Malaysia is betting on data centers to boost its economy. But experts warn they come at a price.

Asahi Shimbun - E | English | News | Feb. 21, 2025 | UndeterminedEconomic Growth

Johor province in Malaysia is rapidly growing its data center market, projected to reach 1.6 gigawatts by 2025, becoming Southeast Asia's fastest-growing region for this infrastructure. While these facilities are crucial for economic modernization and attracting investment, they significantly raise electricity and water demands, with future needs potentially exceeding 5 gigawatts by 2035. Currently, over 95% of Malaysia's energy is fossil fuel-based, raising sustainability and energy security concerns.

Local businesses like Winson Lau's tropical fish export venture feel the strain from increasing energy demands. Lau is considering relocating to Thailand due to fears of power shortages and outages affecting smaller enterprises. Despite government assurances of job creation, experts suggest data centers offer far fewer jobs than expected, typically providing only 30 to 200 permanent positions per facility.

Most data centers are foreign-operated, catering to international rather than local clientele. While Malaysian officials see growth in data centers as a boon for the digital economy, experts warn of potential resource exploitation and environmental degradation. Efforts to implement efficiency guidelines and enhance renewable energy procurement are underway, but local residents remain concerned about water shortages amid extreme weather, complicating sustainable development.

Australia says Chinese navy ships off Sydney did not pose threats

Asahi Shimbun - E | English | News | Feb. 21, 2025 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

Australia is monitoring a Chinese navy task group operating within its exclusive economic zone off the east coast. Defense Minister Richard Marles confirmed that the task group, comprising a frigate, cruiser, and replenishment vessel, poses no threats as they have not violated maritime laws. The frigate has transited the Torres Strait and is now sailing within 150 nautical miles of Sydney.

Marles stressed the necessity of vigilance, with Australia's air force and navy closely observing the task group. While the situation is unusual, it is not unprecedented, and he asserted Australia's right to surveil the vessels while acknowledging their operation in international waters. A comprehensive assessment will occur once the task group's mission concludes.

This follows Australia's concerns raised with Beijing about a Chinese fighter jet's unsafe actions towards an Australian maritime patrol in the South China Sea—a claim disputed by China. Additionally, China's efforts to increase its influence in the Pacific have prompted caution from Australia and the United States, who are working to prevent Pacific island nations from forming security ties with China. Marles is also set to meet with Papua New Guinean officials to discuss a potential bilateral defense treaty.

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