Taiwan

Intelligence for Better Decision Making

Ministry of Labor Faces Scrutiny Amid Workplace Bullying and Suicide Allegations
Nov. 21, 2024 | Government Actions

The Ministry of Labor is currently entangled in a significant controversy involving allegations of workplace bullying against Haike Museum Director Chen Sufen and Northern Branch Director of the Ministry of Labor Workforce Development Agency, Xie Yirong.

The situation has taken a grave turn with the suggestion of Xie's involvement being linked to an employee's tragic suicide. This has raised alarm about an entrenched culture of abuse within the Ministry, seemingly tolerated by influential political figures. Ling Tao, who serves as the Deputy CEO of the KMT think tank, has openly criticized both the behavior of these officials and President Lai Qingde's apparent lack of action. He pointed to a worrying trend of overwork within the Ministry, dubbing it the "Overwork Department," and accused the administration of shirking their duty to address workplace mental health issues. Ling has strongly advocated for accountability and a reconsideration of civil servant protections with respect to illegal activities.

The issue came to light when a civil servant committed suicide in early November after previous complaints of workplace bullying had been disregarded. The Ministry initially claimed ignorance of these allegations, but an investigation confirmed Xie's bullying behavior. The lack of records from an initial report filed in February has led to widespread distrust among the employees. A whistleblower revealed that Xie convened a meeting post-incident to reassure staff but simultaneously instructed them not to speak of it outside the office. This move has fueled resentment, as employees feel their concerns have been trivialized.

Former Labor Minister Xu Mingchun expressed regret over his unawareness of the situation, while Deputy Minister Xu Chuansheng found the missing complaint records baffling. An interview with Xie conducted by Wang Anbang was notably excluded from the investigation, although assurances were made to continue probing into valid complaints of corruption or misconduct. Labor Minister Ho Peishan offered an apology following the tragedy and announced the demotion of director Hsieh Yi-jung due to the exacerbation of workplace conditions. The deceased, a 39-year-old information analyst, reportedly suffered from severe bullying and an overwhelming workload without sufficient support. The Ministry intends to offer compensation to the victim's family and has temporarily demoted Hsieh for his negative impact on team morale and violations of the Civil Service Performance Evaluation Act. The Executive Yuan has been asked to review the pressure and demands placed on workers across government agencies.
Shipping Sector Soars on Rising Freight Rates and Global Trade Dynamics
Nov. 21, 2024 | Indirect Indicator

The shipping industry is experiencing notable upward movements in freight rates for container transportation between Asia and Europe.

This trend arises from a surge in demand, prompting major operators like Maersk, Evergreen, and Yang Ming to implement rate increases of approximately 30% starting December 1. Forecasts suggest overall freight rate hikes could range from 30% to 60%. According to the Shanghai Shipping Exchange Freight Index, rates have climbed to $2,512 per TEU for shipments to Europe and $3,080 per TEU to the Mediterranean. In some cases, costs have reached as high as $3,900 for a 20-foot container and about $6,000 for 40-foot containers. This escalation in prices is driven by supply-demand imbalances, a reduced number of ship sailings earlier this year, and an earlier-than-usual outflow of goods from Asia ahead of the holiday period.

These developments are further compounded by rising demand for shipping services and ongoing geopolitical tensions, which are impacting rates on Far East-Europe routes. Alphaliner has reported minimal idle capacity within the global container fleet, underscoring the tight conditions in the market. Additionally, potential tariff adjustments under the incoming US administration may accelerate cargo movements, further influencing freight rates.

In this context, Evergreen Container Shipping's stock has notably surged by 11.5 yuan, or 5.12%, reaching a record high of 236 yuan on December 19, marking an annual increase of over 60%. This is largely driven by heightened concerns over cargo demand and possible tariff hikes under the prospective Trump presidency. Despite a 3.4% decline in the Shanghai Containerized Exports index, foreign investors have increased their holdings by 18,515 shares, reflecting a significant investor rush into the stock.

Amid these financial developments, contract negotiations between the International Longshoremen's Association and the United States Maritime Alliance have stalled, with a critical deadline looming on January 15, 2025. A failure to reach an agreement could result in dockworker strikes, potentially impacting freight rates further. With expectations of increased demand leading up to the 2025 New Year, investors remain optimistic as customers brace for potential tariff increases.

Evergreen has reported strong third-quarter financial results, with after-tax earnings per share (EPS) reaching 28.75 yuan, elevating its year-to-date EPS to 50.68 yuan, marking the second-highest historically for that timeframe. Analysts predict an annual EPS of 65.35 yuan and a dividend yield exceeding 11%, marking Evergreen's stock as an appealing investment option. The projected net asset value per share by the end of 2025 stands at 294.34 yuan, with a targeted stock price of 265 yuan. Furthermore, a report from Hapag-Lloyd’s CEO highlighted a 6.3% increase in global container throughput this year, suggesting a positive trajectory for the shipping sector.

Monitored Intelligence for Taiwan - Nov. 21, 2024


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Erudite Risk takes an all risks approach to intelligence reporting. We categorize key intelligence into one of 40 different risk intelligence categories.

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碳交易政策大推進 掌握氣候變遷商機這檔表現最優

The promotion of carbon trading policy has the best performance in seizing the business opportunities of climate change.

Liberty Times Net | Local Language | News | Nov. 21, 2024 | Climate Change

The 29th Conference of the Parties (COP29) to the United Nations Climate Change Summit has concluded in Azerbaijan, making significant strides in carbon trading. A key draft of Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement was adopted, allowing countries, companies, and non-UN parties such as Taiwan to engage in a UN-managed central carbon trading system, potentially saving up to US$250 billion annually in carbon reduction costs.

Investment experts highlight that tackling climate change presents growing business opportunities regardless of political uncertainties. Achieving net zero by 2050 requires US$11 trillion in total investments, with US$3.5 trillion needed annually for green initiatives. Leading international companies are reiterating their commitment to emissions reduction, creating competitive advantages for investors who partner with them.

Recent performance data from "Industrial Stocks-Environment and Ecology" funds reveals mixed results based on investment strategies. The Franklin Templeton Global Climate Change Fund achieved nearly 28% returns over three years and 70.18% over five years. As the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rate policies, the impact on alternative energy stocks is expected to diminish. Experts advise focusing on fundamental research and diversifying investments to capitalize on the evolving climate business landscape.

全球股市期指突然跳水!普京批准俄羅斯更廣泛使用核武,日圓、美債短線上漲

Global stock market futures suddenly plunged! Putin approves Russia's wider use of nuclear weapons, the yen and U.S. debt rise short-term

The Storm Media | Local Language | News | Nov. 21, 2024 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

At around 4:00 pm on the 19th Taiwan time, international stock market index futures fell sharply, particularly impacting Taiwan index futures during night trading. After a brief rebound, the index declined by approximately 100 points, hovering near 22,700. This market plunge coincided with Russian President Vladimir Putin approving a revised national nuclear deterrence strategy, which expands the potential use of nuclear weapons amid escalating tensions from the Ukraine conflict.

Ukrainian forces reportedly launched Army tactical missiles (ATACMS) at a facility in Russia's Bryansk Oblast, further escalating the situation. Consequently, global financial markets exhibited risk aversion, leading to declines in European stock markets, notably in the Italian FTSE Milan index. While some major European indices remained stable, both U.S. stock index futures and Taiwan index futures experienced downturns, prompting an increase in safe-haven assets like U.S. bonds, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc.

Putin's updated nuclear policy indicates that Russia may consider nuclear weapons in response to attacks by conventional missiles backed by nuclear powers. The Kremlin reaffirmed that nuclear arms serve as a deterrent and are an extreme measure, designed to warn adversaries of severe consequences for attacking Russia or its allies. This policy specifies threats that could prompt consideration of nuclear weapon use, including assaults with conventional missiles or drones. Ukrainian President Zelensky reiterated Ukraine's commitment to sovereignty and the need for unity in military efforts.

〈能源盤後〉普丁核武威脅 俄烏戰爭推進 油價小幅收漲

<Energy after-hours> Putin’s nuclear weapons threaten Russia-Ukraine war and push forward oil prices to close slightly higher

Yahoo News Taiwan | Local Language | News | Nov. 21, 2024 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

Crude oil futures rose slightly on November 19 as traders assessed the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its potential impact on Russian oil supplies. The situation intensified when the U.S. authorized Ukraine to utilize American long-range missiles against Russia, prompting President Putin to adjust Russia's nuclear weapons policy to allow for broader justification of nuclear engagement.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for December delivery increased by 23 cents to $69.39 per barrel, building on a 3.2% rise on Monday. Brent crude for January delivery edged up 1 cent to close at $73.31 per barrel, while gasoline futures climbed by 1% to $2.04 per gallon. Conversely, thermal fuel futures fell by 0.5% to $2.24 per gallon, and natural gas prices rose by 0.8% to $3 per million British thermal units.

Market analysts noted that oil prices rose modestly due to ample supply stabilizing the market, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions. OPEC's spare capacity remains significant, and findings suggest the global oil market may stay in surplus until the end of 2025, contingent on OPEC+'s output decisions. Overall market sentiment leans toward low volatility and a slightly bearish outlook unless geopolitical or monetary policy conditions change.

In early trading, oil prices dipped slightly following reports of resumed production at Norway's Johan Sverdup oil field, which has a capacity of 755,000 barrels per day. Recent price increases were fueled by concerns over the conflict and a weaker dollar, while the U.S. Energy Information Administration is set to release weekly oil supply data, with anticipated declines in U.S. crude oil, gasoline, and distillate inventories.

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