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Breaking Defense | English | AcademicThink | Jan. 17, 2025 | Geopolitical Conflict and Disputes

China has dispatched a significant military delegation to Japan for the first time in five years, aiming to enhance mutual understanding, trust, and defense exchanges. Japanese official Yoshimasa Hayashi underscored the visit's potential to promote regional peace and stability through constructive communication between leadership.

Analysts speculate that this visit coincides with Chinese leader Xi Jinping's strategy to improve relations with Japan amid a leadership shift in the US and potential trade tariffs from President Trump. The interconnectedness of the Japanese and Chinese economies may motivate both to de-escalate tensions as they brace for economic challenges, presenting a strategic opportunity for Beijing to strengthen ties and create distance between Japan and the US.

Despite the military focus of the visit, economic considerations remain prominent. Notable is the commander-level communication between China and Japan, which US officials have long sought. However, experts caution against expecting improved military relations between the US and China, given persistent competitive dynamics. Additionally, recent developments in China's military capabilities, including new aircraft, underscore ongoing competition, especially in light of anticipated US economic policies.

The success of the meetings may depend on changes in Chinese military behavior near Japanese waters, where recent incursions have raised alarms. Analysts will closely monitor any shifts in Chinese military operations around Japan's islands to gauge the visit's impact.